TROPICAL STORM BERYL NO BETTER ORGANIZED THAN 6 HOURS AGO - NOT LIKELY TO ATTAIN HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE LANDFALL.

NO NEW TPC DATA YET SO WILL GO WITH WHAT I SEE.

TROPICAL STORM BERYL AT LEAST TO SOME DEGREE IS BEING AFFECTED BY WEST TO SOUTHWEST SHEAR. WEAK/POORLY DEFINED CENTER IS ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF DEEPEST CONVECTION ALTHOUGH OVER THE LAST 1-2 HOURS SOME CONVECTION HAS PULSED UP NEAR THE CENTER. OVERALL
THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF BERYL IS NOT QUITE AS IMPRESSIVE AS IT WAS EARLIER.
MOTION LAST 6 HOURS HAS BEEN ROUGHLY 300 AT 2-4 KTS.

INTENSITY: AGAIN, NO NEW TPC GUIDANCE AVAIL AT THIS HOUR. BASED ON SHEAR AND PROXIMITY TO LAND I THINK IT WILL BE HARD FOR BERYL TO
ATTAIN HURRICANE INTENSITY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THINKING NOW IS FOR MODERATE T.S. (45-55 MPH) TO CROSS THE COAST WITHIN 24 HOURS.

TRACK: SEE LITTLE REASON TO CHANGE THINKING FROM EARLIER...MY FCST STILL REMAINS FOR A LANDFALL SOUTH OF KBRO 
(ON THE ORDER OF 40-80 MILES SOUTH) WITHIN 24 HOURS.

MAIN THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINS SPREADING UP THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO
SEE **LOCAL** TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 10". EFFECTS FROM WIND/SEAS SHOULD BE MINIMAL ON TEXAS COAST. INLAND FLOODING IS BIGGEST THREAT
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

ELSEWHERE IN THE TROPICS....NOTHING ELSE LOOKS READY TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.