TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
ISSUED: 9:30 A.M. - WEDNESDAY - 8/16/00

ALBERTO IS ON THE W.S.W. PART OF HIS LOOP AND SHOULD BE HEADED INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC BY LATER SATURDAY/SUNDAY AS UPPER
TROF CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST PICKS HIM UP AND CARRIES HIM OFF INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC. 
IT IS POSSIBLE HE PICKS UP SOME IN INTENSITY BEFORE HE GETS CARRIED AWAY.

ELSEWHERE:

GULF AND CARIBBEAN ARE NEARLY VOID OF CONVECTION - NO DEVELOPMENT THERE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 3-5 DAYS.

THERE REMAIN TWO AREAS OF INTEREST IN THE ATLANTIC...

THE FIRST IS THE WAVE WE'VE BEEN TRACKING FOR DAYS WHICH IS CURRENTLY VCTY OF 45/47 WEST...THERE IS A 1012 MB LOW WITH THIS WAVE NEAR 12N/46W. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED WITH THIS SYSTEM LAST 24 HOURS AND CONDITIONS ARE FAIR TO GOOD FOR DEVELOPMENT. BASED ON THIS WILL FCST SLOW DEVELOPEMNT OF THIS SYSTEM NEXT 24-48 HOURS. 

THE SECOND AREA IS ALONG ROUGHLY 22 WEST OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA. THIS FEATURE ALSO LOOKS GOOD WITH MODEST AMT OF
CONVECTION AND NICE CLOUD SIGNATURE. A LOW WITH THIS SYSTEM IS NEAR 15N/22W. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS CHANCE TO DEVELOP 
AND NEEDS TO BE WATCHED NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

OF THESE TWO SYSTEMS I THINK #1 HAS BEST CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS.

AS FOR TRACK....WILL WAIT FOR SOMETHING TO FORM BEFORE WE GET INTO THAT.