TROPICAL STORM GORDON
FRIDAY - 9/15/00 - 11:00 P.M.

I'LL MAKE THIS SHORT AND SWEET.

I AM IN FULL AGREEMENT WITH 11PM UPDATE FROM TPC....AND THIS IS ALONG THE LINES OF MY THINKING LAST 24 - 36 HOURS.  ANYBODY WHO THINKS THIS IS GOING WEST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD GET OUT OF THE BUSINESS.

THIS IS A THREAT TO THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND THE FLORIDA WEST COAST ONLY....RESIDENTS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA 50-75 MILES EITHER SIDE OF TAMPA SHOULD PREPARE FOR A LANDFALLING CAT 1 TO PERHAPS CAT 2 HURRICANE WITHIN 30-40 HOURS.

HURRICANE WATCHES ARE UP IN 11PM TPC PACKAGE.

PLEASE KEEP IN MIND INTENSITY FORECASTING IS NOT AN EXACT SCIENCE AND THE ROOM FOR ERROR UP OR DOWN CAN BE LARGE.

GIVEN CURRENT AND FORECAST CONDITIONS ALOFT I BELIEVE THE TPC INTENSITY FCST LOOKS ON TARGET...PERHAPS A TAD LOW.

NOT MUCH ELSE TO ADD...SATELLITE PRESENTATION IS IMPROVING AND GORDEN IS ON HIS WAY TO BECOMING A HURRICANE...SOONER RATHER THAN LATER I BELIEVE.

MORE TOMORROW.