TROPICAL DEPRESSION #12...AND I USE THE TERM LOOSELY:

NO SURPRISE TO ME THAT THIS SYSTEM LOOKS PATHETIC THIS MORNING. SHAME ON ANY FORECASTER AND TPC FOR BRINGING THIS TO HURRICANE INTENSITY IN 72 HOURS. NOT QUITE SURE WHAT THE FOLKS ARE LOOKING AT IN TERMS OF "FAVORABLE" CONDITIONS ALOFT....BUT IT WAS OBVIOUS TO ME ALL ALONG THIS SYSTEM HAD LIMITED POTENTIAL AT BEST. 

RECON IS EN-ROUTE NOW AND IF THEY FIND A CLOSED CIRCULATION I BELIEVE IT IS PART OF A VAST LEFT WING CONSPIRACY CONSPIRING AGAINST ANYBODY WHO DARE DISAGREE WITH TPC. ALL KIDDING ASIDE ... I THINK THIS WILL BE AND SHOULD BE DECLARED AND OPEN WAVE BY 11AM. IT WILL STILL DRIFT W.N.W. THEN N.W. INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL FLOW INTO THAT REGION WITH SOME HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS BY LATER IN THE WEEK. I DO NOT EXPECT DEVELOPMENT FROM THIS SYSTEM.

SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN GULF: 

A TIME TO GIVE UP ON THIS FEATURE AS WELL. CONDITIONS HAVE  BECOME LESS THAN FAVORABLE AND I DO NOT EXPECT DEVELOPMENT FROM THIS FEATURE EITHER. IT WILL ALSO DRIFT NORTH AND BRING HEAVY TROPICAL TYPE SHOWERS INTO THE WESTERN & CENTRAL GULF STATES LATER IN THE WEEK.

ELSEWHERE...WAVE JUST EMERGING OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA THIS MORNING IS FAIRLY FAR SOUTH....I'D IGNORE THIS FEATURE ALL TOGETHER EXCEPT FOR THE LATITUDE AT WHICH IT IS COMING OFF ... SOUTH OF 10...IT IS *POSSIBLE* THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SOME DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS AS IT HEADS WEST.  IF I HAD TO GIVE ODDS ON IT I WOULD STILL HAVE TO GO LESS THAN 50/50 FOR DEVELOPMENT.

IN SUMMARY...SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER THE GULF STATES NEXT BEYOND 36+ HOURS LASTING INTO AT LEAST THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND.

REMAINS OF GORDON ARE HEADING OUT TO THE SOUTH OF BOSTON THIS MORNING AFTER DROPPING A GENERAL 2-3" RAIN WEST OF A WASHINGTON, DC TO NTC LINE AND A GENERAL 1-2" RAIN EAST OF THAT. SOME AMTS. WERE LOCALLY HIGHER OR LOWER DEPENDING ON EXACT LOCATION.

THIS INFORMATION IN NO WAY SHOULD BE USED IN PLACE OF OFFICIAL INFORMATION FROM LOCAL EMS/NWS...IT IS INTENDED TO INFORM READERS OF MY OPINIONS ONLY. IF ORDERED TO EVACUATE...PLEASE DO SO! PLEASE MAKE DECISIONS BASED ON INFORMATION SUPPLIED BY LOCAL EMS/NWS OFFICIALS.  NO RESPONSIBILITY WRITTEN OR IMPLIED ON USE OF THIS PRODUCT.