FIRST VISIBLE PICTURE OF THE MORNING SUGGESTS CENTER OF T.D. #6 IS ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF DEEPEST CONVECTION.
CONVECTION HAS PULSED DOWN SOME LAST 2-3 HOURS BUT SYSTEM LOOKS IMPRESSIVE. ASSUMING CONVECTION CAN HOLD
FOR REST OF THE MORNING BASED ON FIRST VISIBLE PICTURE I WOULD FCST T.D.#6 TO BE UPGRADED TO T.S. TODAY...PERHAPS
AS EARLY AS 11:00 A.M. OUTFLOW IS IMPRESSIVE ON THE EASTERN SIDE AND SOMEWHAT LIMITED ON THE WESTERN SIDE DUE TO
WEAK SHEAR.

RECON IS DUE ON THE SCENE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...ABOUT 1:00 P.M.

LATEST 06Z GFDL HAS TRENDED NORTH OF 00Z PACKAGE AND BY MONDAY MORNING IS CENTERED NEAR 23N/68 ON A W.N.W. HEADING.

12Z SHIPS HAS INTENSITY TO 63 KTS IN 72 HOURS...NOT TO MUCH TO ARGUE WITH THERE.

12Z TPC MODEL SUITE RANGES FROM MEDIUM BAMM ON SOUTH (CLOSE TO GFDL) AND A90E ON NORTHWEST SIDE OF WINDOW.
I'M THINKING MORE IN LINE WITH MEDIUM BAMM/GFDL AT THIS TIME. 00Z UKMET IS ALSO CLOSE TO GFDL BUT WEAKENS SYSTEM BACK
TO A DEPRESSION BY 72 HOURS...THIS DOES NOT SEEM LIKELY GIVEN UPPER WIND FCSTS FOR NEXT 3 DAYS.


WAVE FURTHER EAST ALSO LOOKS GOOD ON FIRST VISIBLE PICS...CONVECTION REMAINS MINIMAL BUT A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION IS 
EVIDENT. SEEMS LIKELY THIS WILL BE A LEAST A T.D. BEFORE THE WEEKEND IS OVER AND PERHAPS TO T.S. INTENSITY.


MORE AROUND NOON.