TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
WEDNESDAY - 9/06/00 - 3:00 P.M.

BASED ON DATA I'VE SEEN OVER THE COURSE OF THE MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEEMS TO BE FORMING 
NEAR 16.5N/56.0 WEST.

INFLOW/OUTFLOW APPEARS FAIR AND SHEAR IS LESSENING. GENERAL MOTION APPEARS TO BE 275 AT 10 MPH. RECON IS EN-ROUTE AND WILL ARRIVE SHORTLY.

I'M THINKING TPC WILL UPGRADE THIS AT 5PM. ASSUMING THEY DO I'LL DO A COMPLETE POST AROUND 10PM THIS EVENING.

GENERAL EARLY THOUGHTS ARE:

1) CONDITIONS FAVOR SLOW INTENSIFICATION
2) POSITION IN 36-48 HOURS WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN ISLANDS AS MOTION LOOKS TO BE 
WEST OR W.N.W. (275-285) AT 10-15 MPH.

THATS ALL FOR NOW.