TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
THURSDAY - 9/07/00 - 9:30 A.M.

OUR LITTLE ENGINE THAT COULDN'T IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST OF THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING AND IS GOING NO WHERE FAST IN TERMS
OF DEVELOPMENT. BASED ON SAT PICS/A FEW SHIP REPORTS AND SFC OBS FROM SOME OF THE ISLANDS THIS THING IS NO BETTER ORGANIZED
THIS MORNING THAN IT WAS YESTERDAY AFTERNOON...IF FACT IT IS LESS ORGANIZED.

SHEAR REMAINS WEAK BUT WILL BE INCREASING AGAIN BEYOND NEXT 12 HOURS...BOTTOM LINE...AIN'T NOTHING GONNA COME OF THIS FEATURE.

ELSEWHERE.....I SEE NOTHING THAT MAKES ME THINK WE WILL HAVE A NAMED STORM BETWEEN NOW AND "PEAK DAY" ON SUNDAY.

A SEASON THAT SHOWED SO MUCH PROMISE FOR ACTIVITY IS TURNING OUT VERY DIFFERENTLY. IN MY MIND WE'VE ONLY HAD ONE STORM....
THAT BEING ALBERTO....THE REST IN MY OPINION ARE NOT EVEN WORTH A MENTION. SO DON'T TELL ME "WE'VE HAD **FIVE** STORMS...IF YOU TAKE BERYL, CHRIS, DEBBY & ERNESTO THEY ADD UP TO ABOUT 72 HOURS OF TROPICAL ACTIVITY...HARDLY IMPRESSIVE. THROW IN A FEW CLOUD SWIRLS CALLED DEPRESSIONS AND THAT'S OUR SEASON SO FAR.

BOTTOM LINE...I DON'T EXPECT MUCH OVER THE NEXT 3-5 DAYS.