This information is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a substitute nor should it be used in place of official information.  Please follow and obey orders from local emergency management officials.

Hurricane Charley 10:00 A.M. - Friday - 8/13/04

***PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION***

TPC A LITTLE SLOW TODAY ON CURRENT EVENTS….THEY DID NOT INDICATE A NORTH MOTION UNTIL 9 AM ADVISORY WHEN IT WAS OBVIOUS AT 7:00, WHEN THEY STILL HAD NNW.

LOOKING AT LATEST KET WEST RADAR TRENDS….MOTION CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BEND EAST OF DUE NORTH….FORWARD MOTION LOOKS TO BE CURRENTLY 020 DEGREES.

BASED ON THIS I HAVE INCREASING CONFIDENCE CHARLEY WILL COME IN SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY…AND THAT IS GOOD NEWS….THAT WILL PREVENT A HUGE SURGE FROM COMING UP TAMPA BAY.

WITH THE CURRENT EASTWARD SHIFTING OF LATEST RADAR WILL NOW HAVE TO SHIFT LANDFALL POSITION SOUTH….CURRENT THINKING IS NOW BETWEEN SARASOTA AND FORT MYERS AS A 115-125 MPH HURRICANE.

IF MY THINKING IS CORRECT CHARLEY COULD END UP PASSING EAST OF JAX.

UPDATES WILL BE ISSUED AS NEEDED.

 

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